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Tag: RFF

Structured expert judgment using the Classical Method

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The Classical Model has been employed in a structured expert judgement study into climate change.

When complex decisions must be made while data is unavailable, structured expert judgment can be used to combine uncertainty distributions resulting from experts’ assessments. Roger Cooke, the Chauncey Starr Senior Fellow at Resources for the Future, and Emeritus Professor at Delft University of Technology, created the well-known Classical Model to quantify uncertainty using expert opinion. Together with Dr Tina Nane, […]

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Posted in Articles, Thought LeadersTagged Anca Hanea, Australia, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Classical Model, climate change, complex decisions, Cooke’s method, Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Introduction to Structured Expert Judgment, Delft University of Technology, Disaster management, education, environment, expert judgement, expert opinion, global health, Massive Open Online Course, Netherlands, online course, overconfidence, Performance-optimised Decision Makers, Resources for the Future, RFF, Roger Cooke, sea level rise, statistics, structured expert judgment, Tina Nane, uncertainty quantification, University of Florida, University of MelbourneLeave a comment on Structured expert judgment using the Classical Method

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