Structured expert judgment using the Classical Method

The Classical Model has been employed in a structured expert judgement study into climate change.

When complex decisions must be made while data is unavailable, structured expert judgment can be used to combine uncertainty distributions resulting from experts’ assessments. Roger Cooke, the Chauncey Starr Senior Fellow at Resources for the Future, and Emeritus Professor at Delft University of Technology, created the well-known Classical Model to quantify uncertainty using expert opinion. Together with Dr Tina Nane, […]

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Meaningful human control: Designing safety into automated driving systems

Meaningful human control

Automated vehicles hold great potential for improving traffic flow, fuel consumption and road safety, while reducing workload and stress for drivers. However, the vehicle still requires human supervision, with the human-machine interface improving the human’s ability to supervise the automated driving system (ADS). Simply putting the human in control of supervising such an automated system, however, is not meaningful. Humans […]

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Deconstructing spookiness: Emergent Quantum Mechanics explains the quantum world

Oil droplets on a fluid surface behave just like quantum particles.

From tunnelling to entanglement, the world of quantum mechanics describes a diverse array of seemingly bizarre behaviours which only emerge on the very smallest of scales. Yet Professor Theo van Holten at the Delft University of Technology believes that the physics required to describe quantum systems may not need to be nearly as exotic as many physicists currently believe. Through […]

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